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Toss-up · 2008 House
Idaho House
In the 2008 Idaho House race, Walt Minnick (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.2
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+7.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Greg Smith & Associates | R+12.0 | 13.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harstad Strategic Research2008-10-216
SurveyUSA2008-10-185
Harstad Strategic Research2008-09-275
Greg Smith & Associates2008-09-2713
Harstad Strategic Research2008-09-104
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Idaho House race?
Walt Minnick (D) won, by about 1.2 points (D+1.2).
When was the 2008 Idaho House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.