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Toss-up · 2008 House

Illinois House

In the 2008 Illinois House race, Mark Kirk (R) won by about 5 points.

Actual result
R+5.1
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Normington, Petts & AssociatesR+6.00.9✓
2SurveyUSAD+8.013.1✗
3McLaughlin & AssociatesR+22.016.9✓

The polls behind it

3 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Normington, Petts & Associates2008-10-151
SurveyUSA2008-10-0413
McLaughlin & Associates2008-09-1017

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2008 Illinois House race?

Mark Kirk (R) won, by about 5.1 points (R+5.1).

When was the 2008 Illinois House election held?

It was held in November 2008.

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