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Toss-up · 2008 House
Maryland House
In the 2008 Maryland House race, Frank M. Kratovil (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
D+1.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | EVEN | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+2.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2008-10-071
Grove Insight2008-09-111
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Maryland House race?
Frank M. Kratovil (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2008 Maryland House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.