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Toss-up · 2008 President
Arkansas President
In the 2008 Arkansas President race, John McCain (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+19.9
Final polls said
R+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+15.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+12.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+7.0 | 12.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2008-10-3013
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-2710
YouGov2008-10-258
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2008-10-115
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-2211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Arkansas President race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 19.9 points (R+19.9).
When was the 2008 Arkansas President election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.