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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2008 Alaska Senate race, Mark Begich (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.2
Final polls said
D+4.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaska Survey Research | D+1.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+4.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Hays Research Group | D+7.3 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hays Research Group2008-11-026
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-287
YouGov2008-10-251
Alaska Survey Research2008-10-180
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-062
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Alaska Senate race?
Mark Begich (D) won, by about 1.2 points (D+1.2).
When was the 2008 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.