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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2008 Alaska Senate race, Mark Begich (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.2
Final polls said
D+4.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaska Survey Research | D+1.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+4.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Hays Research Group | D+7.3 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hays Research Group2008-11-026
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-287
YouGov2008-10-251
Alaska Survey Research2008-10-180
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-062
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Alaska Senate race?
Mark Begich (D) won, by about 1.2 points (D+1.2).
When was the 2008 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.