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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Idaho Senate
In the 2008 Idaho Senate race, James E. Risch (R) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
R+23.6
Final polls said
R+18.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+25.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+28.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harstad Strategic Research | R+12.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2008-10-251
Harstad Strategic Research2008-10-2112
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-094
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Idaho Senate race?
James E. Risch (R) won, by about 23.6 points (R+23.6).
When was the 2008 Idaho Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.