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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
Massachusetts Senate
In the 2008 Massachusetts Senate race, John Kerry (D) won by about 34 points.
Actual result
D+33.7
Final polls said
D+28.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+32.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+37.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+24.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+23.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-2710
YouGov2008-10-2511
Suffolk University2008-10-213
SurveyUSA2008-10-134
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-10-132
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Massachusetts Senate race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 33.7 points (D+33.7).
When was the 2008 Massachusetts Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.