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Toss-up · 2008 Senate
West Virginia Senate
In the 2008 West Virginia Senate race, John D. Rockefeller, IV (D) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
D+27.5
Final polls said
D+20.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+28.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Orion Strategies | D+24.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+18.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2008-10-299
YouGov2008-10-259
Orion Strategies2008-10-203
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2008-09-241
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 West Virginia Senate race?
John D. Rockefeller, IV (D) won, by about 27.5 points (D+27.5).
When was the 2008 West Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.