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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2010 Arkansas Governor race, Mike Beebe (D) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
D+30.8
Final polls said
D+25.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Village | D+27.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+26.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+22.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | D+18.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hendrix College | D+16.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | ccAdvertising | D+11.7 | 19.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-289
Big Village2010-10-174
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-175
Hendrix College2010-10-1415
ccAdvertising2010-10-1119
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arkansas Governor race?
Mike Beebe (D) won, by about 30.8 points (D+30.8).
When was the 2010 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.