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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2010 Hawaii Governor race, Neil Abercrombie (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.1
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+8.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | D+5.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-2312
Ward Research2010-10-169
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-1315
MRG Research2010-10-1114
Public Policy Polling2010-10-0215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Hawaii Governor race?
Neil Abercrombie (D) won, by about 17.1 points (D+17.1).
When was the 2010 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.