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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2010 Hawaii Governor race, Neil Abercrombie (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.1
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+8.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | D+5.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-2312
Ward Research2010-10-169
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-1315
MRG Research2010-10-1114
Public Policy Polling2010-10-0215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Hawaii Governor race?
Neil Abercrombie (D) won, by about 17.1 points (D+17.1).
When was the 2010 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.