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Toss-up · 2010 House
Arkansas House
In the 2010 Arkansas House race, Rick Crawford (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.3
Final polls said
R+3.8
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hendrix College | R+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | ccAdvertising | R+5.5 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | R+12.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Impact Research | D+2.0 | 10.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hendrix College2010-10-140
Impact Research2010-10-1210
ccAdvertising2010-10-113
PSB Research2010-10-064
Impact Research2010-09-1510
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arkansas House race?
Rick Crawford (R) won, by about 8.3 points (R+8.3).
When was the 2010 Arkansas House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.