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Toss-up · 2010 House
Arkansas House
In the 2010 Arkansas House race, Michael Avery Ross (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.4
Final polls said
D+10.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hendrix College | D+18.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Diamond State Consulting Group | D+3.0 | 14.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hendrix College2010-10-141
Diamond State Consulting Group2010-09-2714
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arkansas House race?
Michael Avery Ross (D) won, by about 17.4 points (D+17.4).
When was the 2010 Arkansas House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.