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Toss-up · 2010 House
Hawaii House
In the 2010 Hawaii House race, Colleen W. Hanabusa (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.5
Final polls said
D+1.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | D+5.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+4.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ward Research | R+3.0 | 9.5 | ✗ |
| 5 | PSB Research | R+4.0 | 10.5 | ✗ |
| 6 | Harstad Strategic Research | R+16.0 | 22.5 | ✗ |
| 7 | ccAdvertising | R+18.1 | 24.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-231
Ward Research2010-10-169
Global Strategy Group2010-10-052
PSB Research2010-10-0410
Public Policy Polling2010-10-025
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Hawaii House race?
Colleen W. Hanabusa (D) won, by about 6.5 points (D+6.5).
When was the 2010 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 2010.