← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 House
Hawaii House
In the 2010 Hawaii House race, Mazie Hirono (D) won by about 47 points.
Actual result
D+46.9
Final polls said
D+42.3
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+61.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | D+23.5 | 23.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-2323
Ward Research2010-10-1614
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Hawaii House race?
Mazie Hirono (D) won, by about 46.9 points (D+46.9).
When was the 2010 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.