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Toss-up · 2010 House
Illinois House
In the 2010 Illinois House race, Randy Hultgren (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | R+6.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+5.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+8.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | PSB Research | R+1.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+10.0 | 16.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2010-10-311
PSB Research2010-10-115
Benenson Strategy Group2010-10-0516
Tarrance Group2010-10-030
ccAdvertising2010-10-022
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Illinois House race?
Randy Hultgren (R) won, by about 6.3 points (R+6.3).
When was the 2010 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.