← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 House
Illinois House
In the 2010 Illinois House race, Robert Schilling (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+8.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | R+8.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | PSB Research | R+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | R+1.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | R+18.5 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+2.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2010-10-312
PSB Research2010-10-133
ccAdvertising2010-10-029
Public Opinion Strategies2010-09-2612
Tarrance Group2010-09-249
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Illinois House race?
Robert Schilling (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2010 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.