Actual result
R+22.3
Final polls said
R+16.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+13.0
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+17.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+13.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | GBAO | R+2.0 | 20.3 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2010-10-27 | 534 | R+16.0 | 6 |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 2010-10-10 | 300 | R+17.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2010-10-06 | 539 | R+13.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2010-09-14 | 538 | R+10.0 | 12 |
| GBAO | 2010-09-08 | 500 | R+2.0 | 20 |