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Toss-up · 2010 House
Massachusetts House
In the 2010 Massachusetts House race, Bill Keating (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.5
Final polls said
D+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+4.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | MassINC Polling Group | D+3.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 6.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-10-190
MassINC Polling Group2010-10-141
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-066
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Massachusetts House race?
Bill Keating (D) won, by about 4.5 points (D+4.5).
When was the 2010 Massachusetts House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.