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Toss-up · 2010 House
Massachusetts House
In the 2010 Massachusetts House race, Barney Frank (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.5
Final polls said
D+12.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OnMessage Inc. | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fleming & Associates | D+12.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+13.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Kiley & Company | D+19.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2010-10-192
Fleming & Associates2010-10-161
Kiley & Company2010-10-138
OnMessage Inc.2010-09-211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Massachusetts House race?
Barney Frank (D) won, by about 10.5 points (D+10.5).
When was the 2010 Massachusetts House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.