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Toss-up · 2010 House
Maine House
In the 2010 Maine House race, Michael H. Michaud (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.3
Final polls said
D+11.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Digital Research | D+4.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+20.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Digital Research2010-10-276
Digital Research2010-10-159
Pan Atlantic Research2010-10-1310
Digital Research2010-10-103
Digital Research2010-09-272
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Maine House race?
Michael H. Michaud (D) won, by about 10.3 points (D+10.3).
When was the 2010 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.