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Toss-up · 2010 House
Oregon House
In the 2010 Oregon House race, Kurt Schrader (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.3
Final polls said
D+1.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | D+3.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elway Research | D+12.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+13.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 9.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 15.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Elway Research2010-10-207
SurveyUSA2010-10-1815
ccAdvertising2010-10-132
Moore Information Group2010-10-119
Grove Insight2010-09-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Oregon House race?
Kurt Schrader (D) won, by about 5.3 points (D+5.3).
When was the 2010 Oregon House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.