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Toss-up · 2010 House
South Dakota House
In the 2010 South Dakota House race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.2
Final polls said
R+0.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Nielson Brothers Polling | D+1.5 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | PSB Research | D+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+13.0 | 15.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Nielson Brothers Polling2010-10-214
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-203
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-200
PSB Research2010-10-185
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 South Dakota House race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 2.2 points (R+2.2).
When was the 2010 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.