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Toss-up · 2010 House
South Dakota House
In the 2010 South Dakota House race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.2
Final polls said
R+0.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Nielson Brothers Polling | D+1.5 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | PSB Research | D+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+13.0 | 15.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Nielson Brothers Polling2010-10-214
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-203
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-200
PSB Research2010-10-185
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 South Dakota House race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 2.2 points (R+2.2).
When was the 2010 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2010.