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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 2010 Arkansas Senate race, John Boozman (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.0
Final polls said
R+18.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+21.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+19.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | R+14.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | R+14.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Ipsos | R+14.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Hendrix College | R+13.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-282
Big Village2010-10-177
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-170
Hendrix College2010-10-148
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2010-10-142
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arkansas Senate race?
John Boozman (R) won, by about 21.0 points (R+21.0).
When was the 2010 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.