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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Hawaii Senate
In the 2010 Hawaii Senate race, Daniel K. Inouye (D) won by about 53 points.
Actual result
D+53.2
Final polls said
D+32.1
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+36.0 | 17.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | MRG Research | D+32.1 | 21.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+13.0 | 40.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2010-10-2321
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-1340
Public Policy Polling2010-10-0217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Hawaii Senate race?
Daniel K. Inouye (D) won, by about 53.2 points (D+53.2).
When was the 2010 Hawaii Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.