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Toss-up · 2010 Senate

Massachusetts Senate

In the 2010 Massachusetts Senate race, Scott Brown (R) won by about 5 points.

Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+8.6
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Public Policy PollingR+5.00.2✓
2Suffolk UniversityR+4.00.8✓
3American Research GroupR+7.02.2✓
4InsiderAdvantageR+9.14.3✓
5CrossTargetR+9.64.8✓
6MRG ResearchR+9.64.8✓
7Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)D+2.06.8✗
8Mellman GroupD+14.018.8✗
9University of New Hampshire Survey CenterD+17.021.8✗

The polls behind it

13 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
CrossTarget2010-01-175
InsiderAdvantage2010-01-174
American Research Group2010-01-162
Public Policy Polling2010-01-160
MRG Research2010-01-155

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Massachusetts Senate race?

Scott Brown (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).

When was the 2010 Massachusetts Senate election held?

It was held in November 2010.

Which party matches you?

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