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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Oregon Senate
In the 2010 Oregon Senate race, Ron Wyden (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+18.0
Final polls said
D+17.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+16.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | ccAdvertising | D+13.7 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+25.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-257
SurveyUSA2010-10-257
Public Policy Polling2010-10-162
SurveyUSA2010-10-134
ccAdvertising2010-10-134
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Oregon Senate race?
Ron Wyden (D) won, by about 18.0 points (D+18.0).
When was the 2010 Oregon Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.