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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
West Virginia Senate
In the 2010 West Virginia Senate race, Joe Manchin, III (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.1
Final polls said
D+1.6
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Strategies | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+5.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+5.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+4.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | ccAdvertising | D+3.2 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Big Village | EVEN | 10.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-316
Public Policy Polling2010-10-305
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-267
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-2312
Public Policy Polling2010-10-234
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 West Virginia Senate race?
Joe Manchin, III (D) won, by about 10.1 points (D+10.1).
When was the 2010 West Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.