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Toss-up · 2011 Governor
West Virginia Governor
In the 2011 West Virginia Governor race, Earl Ray Tomblin (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+2.5
Final polls said
D+5.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mellman Group | D+10.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Repass | D+16.0 | 13.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2011-10-012
Mellman Group2011-09-187
Public Policy Polling2011-09-033
Mellman Group2011-08-2111
Repass2011-08-1713
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2011 West Virginia Governor race?
Earl Ray Tomblin (D) won, by about 2.5 points (D+2.5).
When was the 2011 West Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2011.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.