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Toss-up · 2012 House
Connecticut House
In the 2012 Connecticut House race, Elizabeth H. Esty (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+2.6
Final polls said
R+1.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | National Research | R+6.0 | 8.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | American Viewpoint | R+7.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
National Research2012-10-229
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2012-10-211
American Viewpoint2012-09-2610
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Connecticut House race?
Elizabeth H. Esty (D) won, by about 2.6 points (D+2.6).
When was the 2012 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2012.