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Toss-up · 2012 House
Hawaii House
In the 2012 Hawaii House race, Tulsi Gabbard (D) won by about 61 points.
Actual result
D+61.1
Final polls said
D+61.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | D+58.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ward Research | D+65.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2012-10-253
Ward Research2012-10-194
MRG Research2012-09-279
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Hawaii House race?
Tulsi Gabbard (D) won, by about 61.1 points (D+61.1).
When was the 2012 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 2012.