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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Rodney Davis (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.3
Final polls said
D+2.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Research & Consulting | D+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+5.1 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+6.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Impact Research | D+9.0 | 9.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-285
Impact Research2012-10-209
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-10-126
We Ask America2012-10-082
Victoria Research & Consulting2012-09-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Rodney Davis (R) won, by about 0.3 points (R+0.3).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.