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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Rodney Davis (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.3
Final polls said
D+2.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Research & Consulting | D+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+5.1 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+6.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Impact Research | D+9.0 | 9.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-285
Impact Research2012-10-209
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-10-126
We Ask America2012-10-082
Victoria Research & Consulting2012-09-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Rodney Davis (R) won, by about 0.3 points (R+0.3).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.