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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Cheri Bustos (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.6
Final polls said
EVEN
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GBAO | D+4.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+1.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | We Ask America | R+4.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+7.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-2811
GBAO2012-10-173
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-1414
We Ask America2012-10-097
Impact Research2012-10-036
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Cheri Bustos (D) won, by about 6.6 points (D+6.6).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.