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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Cheri Bustos (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.6
Final polls said
EVEN
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GBAO | D+4.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+1.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | We Ask America | R+4.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+7.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-2811
GBAO2012-10-173
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-1414
We Ask America2012-10-097
Impact Research2012-10-036
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Cheri Bustos (D) won, by about 6.6 points (D+6.6).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.