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Toss-up · 2012 House
Illinois House
In the 2012 Illinois House race, Tammy Duckworth (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.5
Final polls said
D+12.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Market Shares Corp. | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+10.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+14.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Impact Research | D+15.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-10-281
Public Policy Polling2012-10-255
Market Shares Corp.2012-10-221
Impact Research2012-10-176
We Ask America2012-10-0911
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Illinois House race?
Tammy Duckworth (D) won, by about 9.5 points (D+9.5).
When was the 2012 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2012.