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Toss-up · 2012 House

Kentucky House

In the 2012 Kentucky House race, Andy Barr (R) won by about 4 points.

Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Clout ResearchR+4.00.1✓
2Public Opinion StrategiesD+3.06.9✗
3Mellman GroupD+14.017.9✗

The polls behind it

3 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Clout Research2012-10-230
Public Opinion Strategies2012-09-307
Mellman Group2012-09-1218

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2012 Kentucky House race?

Andy Barr (R) won, by about 3.9 points (R+3.9).

When was the 2012 Kentucky House election held?

It was held in November 2012.

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