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Toss-up · 2012 House
Massachusetts House
In the 2012 Massachusetts House race, John F. Tierney (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.1
Final polls said
R+0.7
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+6.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | North Star Opinion Research | R+8.0 | 9.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | MassINC Polling Group | D+12.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
North Star Opinion Research2012-09-259
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-09-247
MassINC Polling Group2012-09-0911
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Massachusetts House race?
John F. Tierney (D) won, by about 1.1 points (D+1.1).
When was the 2012 Massachusetts House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.