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Toss-up · 2012 House
Rhode Island House
In the 2012 Rhode Island House race, David N. Cicilline (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.1
Final polls said
R+2.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Feldman Group | D+10.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | D+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Fleming & Associates | D+1.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | OnMessage Inc. | R+6.0 | 18.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Fleming & Associates2012-10-2611
OnMessage Inc.2012-10-2418
Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy2012-09-306
Fleming & Associates2012-09-286
Feldman Group2012-09-152
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Rhode Island House race?
David N. Cicilline (D) won, by about 12.1 points (D+12.1).
When was the 2012 Rhode Island House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.