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Toss-up · 2012 House
South Dakota House
In the 2012 South Dakota House race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+14.9
Final polls said
R+9.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+13.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Nielson Brothers Polling2012-11-022
Nielson Brothers Polling2012-10-309
Nielson Brothers Polling2012-10-039
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 South Dakota House race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 14.9 points (R+14.9).
When was the 2012 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.