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Toss-up · 2012 House
Utah House
In the 2012 Utah House race, Jim Matheson (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.3
Final polls said
R+8.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+5.0 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 12.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+15.0 | 15.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-3012
Dan Jones & Associates2012-10-295
Global Strategy Group2012-10-097
Dan Jones & Associates2012-09-286
Public Opinion Strategies2012-09-1015
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Utah House race?
Jim Matheson (D) won, by about 0.3 points (D+0.3).
When was the 2012 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2012.