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Toss-up · 2012 House
Utah House
In the 2012 Utah House race, Jim Matheson (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.3
Final polls said
R+8.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+5.0 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+12.0 | 12.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+15.0 | 15.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-3012
Dan Jones & Associates2012-10-295
Global Strategy Group2012-10-097
Dan Jones & Associates2012-09-286
Public Opinion Strategies2012-09-1015
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Utah House race?
Jim Matheson (D) won, by about 0.3 points (D+0.3).
When was the 2012 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.