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Toss-up · 2012 President
M1 President
In the 2012 M1 President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+21.4
Final polls said
D+14.6
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+20.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+17.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+17.1 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Digital Research | D+6.0 | 15.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-024
Public Policy Polling2012-11-011
Digital Research2012-10-3015
Pan Atlantic Research2012-09-264
Maine People's Resource Center2012-09-163
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 M1 President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 21.4 points (D+21.4).
When was the 2012 M1 President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.