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Toss-up · 2012 President
M2 President
In the 2012 M2 President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.6
Final polls said
D+4.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | D+7.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+10.9 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+5.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+4.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+5.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-025
Gravis Marketing2012-11-016
Public Policy Polling2012-11-014
Digital Research2012-10-302
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-304
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 M2 President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 8.6 points (D+8.6).
When was the 2012 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.