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Toss-up · 2012 President
M2 President
In the 2012 M2 President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.6
Final polls said
D+4.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | D+7.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+10.9 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+5.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+4.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+5.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-025
Gravis Marketing2012-11-016
Public Policy Polling2012-11-014
Digital Research2012-10-302
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-304
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 M2 President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 8.6 points (D+8.6).
When was the 2012 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2012.