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Toss-up · 2012 President
New Hampshire President
In the 2012 New Hampshire President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.6
Final polls said
D+2.3
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Research Partners | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+7.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | New England College Polling Center | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Grove Insight | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | American Research Group | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 12 | Suffolk University | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
33 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-11-044
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-11-032
American Research Group2012-11-036
New England College Polling Center2012-11-032
Public Policy Polling2012-11-034
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Hampshire President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 5.6 points (D+5.6).
When was the 2012 New Hampshire President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.