← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
New Hampshire President
In the 2012 New Hampshire President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.6
Final polls said
D+2.3
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Research Partners | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+7.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | New England College Polling Center | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Grove Insight | D+3.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | American Research Group | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 12 | Suffolk University | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
33 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-11-044
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2012-11-032
American Research Group2012-11-036
New England College Polling Center2012-11-032
Public Policy Polling2012-11-034
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Hampshire President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 5.6 points (D+5.6).
When was the 2012 New Hampshire President election held?
It was held in November 2012.