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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Hawaii Senate
In the 2012 Hawaii Senate race, Mazie Hirono (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.2
Final polls said
D+18.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+22.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+18.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | MRG Research | D+15.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Voter/Consumer Research | D+4.0 | 21.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2012-10-2610
Ward Research2012-10-193
Voter/Consumer Research2012-10-1321
Benenson Strategy Group2012-10-107
Benenson Strategy Group2012-09-198
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Hawaii Senate race?
Mazie Hirono (D) won, by about 25.2 points (D+25.2).
When was the 2012 Hawaii Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.