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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Indiana Senate
In the 2012 Indiana Senate race, Joe Donnelly (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+3.8
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+7.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+7.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Global Strategy Group | D+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | D+11.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+2.0 | 7.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-024
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-11-013
McLaughlin & Associates2012-10-318
Global Strategy Group2012-10-293
Howey Politics/DePauw University2012-10-295
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Indiana Senate race?
Joe Donnelly (D) won, by about 5.8 points (D+5.8).
When was the 2012 Indiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.