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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2014 Arkansas Governor race, Asa Hutchinson (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.9
Final polls said
R+5.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+11.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+10.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+9.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+9.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hendrix College | R+8.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+7.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | R+3.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | R+2.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Opinion Research Associates | D+4.0 | 17.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-314
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-3118
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-287
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-2516
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2014-10-243
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arkansas Governor race?
Asa Hutchinson (R) won, by about 13.9 points (R+13.9).
When was the 2014 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.