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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Arkansas Governor
In the 2014 Arkansas Governor race, Asa Hutchinson (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.9
Final polls said
R+5.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+11.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+10.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+9.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+9.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hendrix College | R+8.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+7.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | R+3.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | R+2.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Opinion Research Associates | D+4.0 | 17.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-314
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-3118
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-287
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-2516
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2014-10-243
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arkansas Governor race?
Asa Hutchinson (R) won, by about 13.9 points (R+13.9).
When was the 2014 Arkansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.