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Toss-up · 2014 House
Montana House
In the 2014 Montana House race, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+15.0
Final polls said
R+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gravis Marketing | R+12.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+7.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2014-10-233
Montana State University Billings2014-10-088
Gravis Marketing2014-09-295
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Montana House race?
Ryan K. Zinke (R) won, by about 15.0 points (R+15.0).
When was the 2014 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.