Actual result
D+10.1
Final polls said
R+6.0
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
R+9.9
✗
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+9.9 | 20.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | R+21.0 | 31.1 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group | 2014-10-10 | 301 | R+21.0 | 31 |
| Moore Information Group | 2014-10-05 | 301 | D+9.0 | 1 |