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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Hawaii Senate
In the 2014 Hawaii Senate race, Brian Schatz (D) won by about 42 points.
Actual result
D+42.1
Final polls said
D+43.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+51.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+52.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rasmussen Reports | D+32.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | MRG Research | D+26.0 | 16.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2014-10-2010
MRG Research2014-10-1816
Ward Research2014-10-159
YouGov2014-09-2612
MRG Research2014-09-135
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Hawaii Senate race?
Brian Schatz (D) won, by about 42.1 points (D+42.1).
When was the 2014 Hawaii Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.