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Toss-up · 2015 Governor
Louisiana Governor
In the 2015 Louisiana Governor race, John Bel Edwards (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.2
Final polls said
D+15.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Research Insight | D+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Triumph Campaigns | D+8.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | RRH Elections | D+6.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | MarblePort | D+6.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Multi-Quest International | D+19.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | D+20.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | JMC Analytics | D+4.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Clarus Research Group | D+4.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
JMC Analytics2015-11-198
Market Research Insight2015-11-170
Market Research Insight2015-11-153
JMC Analytics2015-11-154
RRH Elections2015-11-146
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2015 Louisiana Governor race?
John Bel Edwards (D) won, by about 12.2 points (D+12.2).
When was the 2015 Louisiana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2015.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.