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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Utah Governor
In the 2016 Utah Governor race, Gary Richard Herbert (R) won by about 38 points.
Actual result
R+38.0
Final polls said
R+31.2
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y2 Analytics | R+38.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+39.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+33.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | R+20.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0418
Y2 Analytics2016-11-020
Monmouth University Polling Institute2016-11-015
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2812
Dan Jones & Associates2016-10-151
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Utah Governor race?
Gary Richard Herbert (R) won, by about 38.0 points (R+38.0).
When was the 2016 Utah Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.