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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Vermont Governor
In the 2016 Vermont Governor race, Phil Scott (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.7
Final polls said
R+4.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RRH Elections | R+7.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Braun Research | R+7.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Castleton Polling Institute | R+1.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | D+4.0 | 12.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0413
SurveyMonkey2016-10-282
RRH Elections2016-10-252
Braun Research2016-10-212
The Castleton Polling Institute2016-10-078
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Vermont Governor race?
Phil Scott (R) won, by about 8.7 points (R+8.7).
When was the 2016 Vermont Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.